Like I said, no problem posting plays, records, etc. win or lose. Lost 3.9 units last night and posted it.
Friday: 0-1, -3.90 units.
YTD: 195-131, +120.37 units.
Disappointing Friday, treading water it seems like. Some eggs in the same basket again here, but confident/hopeful some home favorites show up today.
10 units:
ML Parlay (-170):
Chattanooga
Michigan State
UCLA
Let me say it for the record - if for any reason MSU and/or UCLA lose before the Mocs game, I'm going to hammer Chattanooga again somehow. Putting it out there because I feel very strongly about them tonight. Only in conference home loss they have was to Davidson. Very competitive in general at home, but the night is even bigger with the celebration of the Mocs' all-time team, and senior night as it is their last home game. They usually get solid crowds, but throw in another factor - they are luckily tied for 1st place in their division now and can help their cause even further with 3 games remaining on the slate. Wofford has fallen off the face of the map, lost all ability to shoot, and their one big man will have to go against the strength of Chattanooga, a tall, long, and deep frontcourt.
5 units:
ML Parlay (-163):
Boise State
Michigan State
Old Dominion
Boise State: A fantastic home team going against a squad they match up favorably with in the BracketBuster (which they're undefeated in). They will have a considerable advantage inside and Franklin for Siena has shown he can get in foul trouble. Siena's using a limited bench and I don't know if their starters can keep up the pace with Boise for 40 minutes on the road. Better rebounding, better scoring, better shooting, and at home.
4 units:
ML Parlay (-120):
Washington State
UCLA
Michigan State
Old Dominion
Washington State: Great home team that's facing a reeling Arizona squad, a team I've avoided/tried to fade since the loss of Wise. He was such an integral piece of their offense, providing ball handling and a 3 point threat, and leaves this team with absolutely no depth. Washington State has 3 solid guards that will make Arizona work on both ends, and Washington threw a blueprint out for how to throw Bayliss off his game - throw men at him and force his hand. We'll see if they can or want to replicate.
2 units:
ML Parlay (-120):
Texas
Georgetown
UCLA
Old Dominion
Texas: Notoriously difficult team to beat at home, finally got Augustine off in his last game, and I think this year Oklahoma's defense is down, especially on the perimeter. Winning on the road here will not be easy, period. Getting some valuable minutes from Mason and the bench bigs which should help the cause.
Georgetown: Undefeated at 'home', playing a team that they match up well against - a team that's not disciplined on offense and has young, inexperienced guard play aside from Vaughn. Too much depth for the Hoyas, in my opinion, and a game they can't afford to lose if they want to win the Big East.
UCLA: Screw them if they lose at home twice on national television, after losing to USC a while ago. Their defense is great, and it only gets better at home. It's not so much that Oregon can't match up well with guys like Westbrook and Love, it's that there are bench players that can play defense in their absence against Oregon's players. No breaks for Leunen or Catron when Love comes out.
Old Dominion: Playing its best basketball of the year and going against a Bucknell team that is a shell of what it was before. They have 2 post players, 1 who hasn't found last year's form after an offseason injury, another that's young and raw. Lee could be primed for a big day, but their guard play has stepped up significantly, and their defense, like UCLA's, is very good at home.
ML Parlay (-128):
Pepperdine
Michigan State
Old Dominion
Pepperdine: They've actually become deeper in the past few games, not relying as much on Shelley to score the majority of the points, and it could pay dividends on the road against a team they've already beaten handily. LMU is woeful offensively, although I tread wearily only because when I've faded poor offensive teams at home this week, they've burned me.
Michigan State: Undefeated at home, revenge game after playing arguably their worst home game of the season, Peterson questionable for Iowa, I don't know how good a chance Iowa has at holding Morgan and Nietzel down again. Another 'must-win' and one that they should win protecting their home court.
ML Parlay (-110):
UNLV
Georgetown
UCLA
Michigan State
UNLV: A game they'll need if they want to get the #2/3 seed in the MWC and avoid having to play BYU until the finals (if things turn out that way). Wyoming's playing with some hurt guys which should help Wink and co. with their perimeter defense which was already strong - Ewing's not going to be 100%.
ML Parlay (-127):
Washington
UCLA
Michigan State
Washington: Has improved by leaps and bounds recently - they have a solid influx of youth that are contributing when given minutes, their defense has ratcheted up a few notches, and they're playing with a confidence they didn't possess earlier this year. Arizona State is poor on the road and their shooting has gone way down recently.
ML Parlay (-132):
Hawaii
Michigan State
Hawaii: Options offensively, they are led by a consistent and very capable senior in Gibson, they got Owsley back and Amis has played admirably in his stead, which should help them both. Riverside struggles to score, they have virtually no shooters on the perimeter and Hawaii can hit from 3 in a hurry.
1 unit:
Connecticut +2 (-120)...Dyson should be back and he adds much needed depth in the backcourt for the Huskies. Villanova doesn’t match up well inside with UConn, and not only are they outmanned down there but they’re all young with the exception of Cunningham. Connecticut can afford to apply more defensive pressure on the perimeter now that they have another guard and another shooter.
Nevada +7 (-110)…Southern Illinois doesn’t have the offense in my opinion to pull away from a Nevada team that has the scoring options they pose, and the shooters they possess from beyond the arc. Throw in that the Salukis are just plain mediocre from the 3 point line and from the stripe, and I think this game could be very competitive if Kemp gets the support he’s looking for. Helps that Falker hasn’t been a focus at all on offense, could help McGee stay in this game longer.
Tennessee-Martin +4 (-120)…They are playing their best basketball of the season right now and protecting the ball as well. Elon’s a team that can go through long droughts offensively, and Martin is a team that can pile on the points in a hurry. Don’t think Elon’s guards match up with Martin’s well at all on both offense and defense.
Dsethi
Then:
3 units:
ML Parlay (-146):
Cornell
UCLA
Michigan State
Cornell: Biggest home game of the year. Facing the 2nd best team in the conference with a chance to all but wrap up the Ivy league conference. Brown having to travel for this one and while both teams didn't look sharp last night, Cornell gets this one at home and I've been trying to ride the class of the Ivy League for a while now.
Last play of the day was this:
2 units:
Texas A&M -8.5 (2nd Half, -110)...Have to believe the home team makes a run at a Nebraska team that may find it harder to score in the 2nd Half.
